San Diego Gas & Electric talk about electrification, which I assume means changing from natural gas to electricity. They base their predictions on needing more renewables plus storage and green hydrogen.
They haven’t taken into account that by 2045, sea level rise may force hundreds of thousands of people to have to relocate further inland. Another factor that we may need to deal with is a huge influx of climate refugees from Central America that could increase the population considerably.
Another factor which they don’t seem to take into account is DERS – distributed energy resources, which could increase behind-the-meter rooftop solar and battery storage. This could considerably reduce the load on the grid.
Another factor they seem to have not considered is autonomous ride hailing. This will reduce the number of cars owned by up to 70%.